Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.001893 0.002013 0.002137 0.002275 0.002425 0.002583 0.002762
2025-03-30 0.001715 0.001883 0.002064 0.002275 0.002514 0.002777 0.003090
2025-04-06 0.001570 0.001766 0.001983 0.002244 0.002551 0.002901 0.003336
2025-04-13 0.001453 0.001666 0.001908 0.002206 0.002566 0.002992 0.003537
2025-04-20 0.001334 0.001552 0.001806 0.002125 0.002520 0.002999 0.003629
2025-04-27 0.001285 0.001517 0.001793 0.002147 0.002596 0.003153 0.003908
2025-05-04 0.001255 0.001502 0.001801 0.002193 0.002701 0.003347 0.004248
2025-05-11 0.001238 0.001501 0.001825 0.002258 0.002832 0.003579 0.004650
2025-05-18 0.001202 0.001475 0.001814 0.002276 0.002900 0.003730 0.004950
2025-05-25 0.001144 0.001417 0.001760 0.002233 0.002882 0.003762 0.005082
2025-06-01 0.001100 0.001374 0.001723 0.002211 0.002891 0.003828 0.005264
2025-06-08 0.001074 0.001354 0.001716 0.002228 0.002952 0.003970 0.005566
2025-06-15 0.001030 0.001311 0.001679 0.002207 0.002967 0.004057 0.005806
2025-06-22 0.000993 0.001276 0.001651 0.002198 0.002999 0.004171 0.006098
2025-06-29 0.000951 0.001232 0.001609 0.002166 0.002995 0.004229 0.006307
2025-07-06 0.000910 0.001189 0.001565 0.002129 0.002980 0.004269 0.006486
2025-07-13 0.000859 0.001129 0.001496 0.002051 0.002899 0.004202 0.006480
2025-07-20 0.000843 0.001116 0.001494 0.002072 0.002970 0.004376 0.006897
2025-07-27 0.000834 0.001115 0.001507 0.002116 0.003079 0.004619 0.007454
2025-08-03 0.000832 0.001122 0.001532 0.002179 0.003219 0.004921 0.008146
2025-08-10 0.000816 0.001109 0.001528 0.002196 0.003287 0.005106 0.008636
2025-08-17 0.000786 0.001073 0.001488 0.002155 0.003256 0.005118 0.008797
2025-08-24 0.000762 0.001047 0.001461 0.002133 0.003257 0.005184 0.009069